Júpiter Leonés vs Burgos CF B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
16.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
2º
9º
4º
16
6º
15º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
23 | 85 |
1º
|
74% | |
|
1º
|
26 | 77 |
2º
|
54% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 66 |
3º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
18 | 59 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 57 |
5º
|
15.5% | |
|
3º
|
19 | 55 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
4º
|
19 | 54 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
16 | 52 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 49 |
9º
|
7.5% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 47 |
10º
|
8.5% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 47 |
11º
|
8% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 45 |
12º
|
5.5% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 45 |
13º
|
8.5% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 42 |
14º
|
10.5% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 39 |
15º
|
14.5% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 36 |
16º
|
11.5% | |
|
17º
|
9 | 35 |
17º
|
22.5% | |
|
18º
|
5 | 34 |
18º
|
23.5% | |
|
19º
|
1 | 18 |
19º
|
72.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
44.5% | 21% |
|
Mid-table
|
53% | 74% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Júpiter Leonés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
LVC
0 - 0
LEO
29%
26%
46%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
LEO
1 - 3
SPB
36%
26%
38%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
TOR
1 - 2
LEO
55%
25%
20%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
LEO
0 - 4
TOR
37%
27%
36%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -2 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
COL
0 - 2
LEO
19%
23%
59%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Burgos CF B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
BUR
2 - 2
CAT
24%
24%
52%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
AST
0 - 0
BUR
67%
20%
14%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
BUR
2 - 2
TOR
20%
25%
55%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
PAL
4 - 1
BUR
54%
23%
24%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
CAT
3 - 0
BUR
65%
21%
15%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -2 |