SCD Durango vs CD Derio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
19.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
2º
17º
10º
19
5º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
34 | 70 |
1º
|
33% | |
|
1º
|
36 | 70 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 66 |
3º
|
31% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 59 |
4º
|
20.5% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 55 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 52 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 51 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 51 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 47 |
9º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
16 | 43 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
19 | 42 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 42 |
12º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 42 |
13º
|
11.5% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 35 |
14º
|
16.5% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 35 |
15º
|
13% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 34 |
16º
|
20.5% | |
|
17º
|
9 | 25 |
17º
|
31% | |
|
18º
|
7 | 25 |
18º
|
41% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
5.5% | 4.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
80% | 81.5% |
|
Relegation
|
14.5% | 14% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SCD Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SNT
1 - 1
CDU
23%
23%
54%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
CDU
2 - 0
BEA
39%
25%
36%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +2 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
CDU
2 - 3
CDT
58%
22%
21%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 2
CDU
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
CDU
3 - 0
BEA
28%
25%
47%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
CD Derio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
CDD
2 - 0
URD
51%
23%
27%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
LON
1 - 1
CDD
55%
23%
22%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
CDD
2 - 3
ARE
15%
22%
63%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
AÑO
2 - 3
CDD
23%
24%
53%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
CDD
1 - 1
DAC
50%
23%
28%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |