BW Lohne vs Hamburger SV II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
36.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
5º
13º
8º
8
8º
18º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
28 | 67 |
1º
|
34% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 63 |
2º
|
21% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 63 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
2º
|
20 | 61 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 61 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 54 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
3º
|
19 | 48 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
|
5º
|
18 | 44 |
8º
|
10% | |
|
|
15º
|
8 | 43 |
9º
|
8.5% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 43 |
10º
|
8% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 42 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 41 |
12º
|
8.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 41 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 41 |
14º
|
14% | |
|
17º
|
8 | 35 |
15º
|
8.5% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 35 |
16º
|
11.5% | |
|
18º
|
7 | 34 |
17º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 33 |
18º
|
19.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
95% | 91% |
|
Relegation
|
5% | 9% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BW Lohne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
STP
2 - 1
BWL
39%
25%
37%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
BWL
0 - 2
MEP
18%
22%
60%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BWL
0 - 3
TOD
52%
23%
25%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
WER
3 - 4
BWL
66%
18%
16%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
BWL
1 - 0
VFB
32%
25%
43%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Hamburger SV II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
JED
2 - 2
HAM
38%
25%
37%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
HAM
1 - 2
BSV
33%
25%
41%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
FCP
1 - 1
HAM
68%
18%
13%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
HAM
5 - 2
OTT
54%
22%
24%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +2 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
HAM
0 - 6
HAV
41%
24%
34%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |