BW Lohne vs Hamburger SV II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
36.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
5º
13º
10º
24
8º
18º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 69 |
1º
|
49% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 66 |
2º
|
26.5% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 62 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 59 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 57 |
5º
|
18% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 57 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 51 |
7º
|
19% | |
|
|
10º
|
24 | 48 |
8º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 47 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
27 | 46 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 43 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 39 |
12º
|
11.5% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 39 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 37 |
14º
|
14.5% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 34 |
15º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 34 |
16º
|
17% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 33 |
17º
|
23.5% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 27 |
18º
|
55% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
98% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation
|
2% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BW Lohne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
STP
2 - 1
BWL
39%
25%
37%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
BWL
0 - 2
MEP
18%
22%
60%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BWL
0 - 3
TOD
52%
23%
25%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
WER
3 - 4
BWL
66%
18%
16%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
BWL
1 - 0
VFB
32%
25%
43%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Hamburger SV II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
JED
2 - 2
HAM
38%
25%
37%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
HAM
1 - 2
BSV
33%
25%
41%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
FCP
1 - 1
HAM
68%
18%
13%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
HAM
5 - 2
OTT
54%
22%
24%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +2 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
HAM
0 - 6
HAV
41%
24%
34%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |