Oberliga Mittelrhein round 8

FC BW Friesdorf vs SSV Merten analysis

FC BW Friesdorf SSV Merten
21 ELO 17
9.9% Tilt -7.4%
17332º General ELO ranking 8962º
1061º Country ELO ranking 388º
ELO win probability
59.7%
FC BW Friesdorf
18.6%
Draw
21.8%
SSV Merten

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
FC BW Friesdorf
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.5%
21.8%
Win probability
SSV Merten
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FC BW Friesdorf
-79%
+194%
SSV Merten

ELO progression

FC BW Friesdorf
SSV Merten
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FC BW Friesdorf
FC BW Friesdorf
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Oct. 2018
SPF
SpVgg Frechen
3 - 0
FC BW Friesdorf
BWF
27%
22%
50%
22 17 5 0
30 Sep. 2018
BWF
FC BW Friesdorf
1 - 1
Siegburger SV 04
SIE
54%
20%
26%
21 21 0 +1
23 Sep. 2018
BFR
Borussia Freialdenhoven
6 - 1
FC BW Friesdorf
BWF
43%
23%
34%
23 21 2 -2
16 Sep. 2018
BWF
FC BW Friesdorf
6 - 3
SV Breinig
SVB
56%
20%
24%
22 22 0 +1
07 Sep. 2018
WEG
Wegberg-Beeck
2 - 1
FC BW Friesdorf
BWF
79%
13%
9%
23 32 9 -1

Matches

SSV Merten
SSV Merten
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Oct. 2018
MER
SSV Merten
2 - 2
Hennef 05
H05
24%
22%
54%
18 25 7 0
30 Sep. 2018
VFL
VfL Vichttal
2 - 2
SSV Merten
MER
46%
21%
32%
18 18 0 0
16 Sep. 2018
DUR
Düren
3 - 0
SSV Merten
MER
37%
21%
42%
19 16 3 -1
09 Sep. 2018
MER
SSV Merten
1 - 1
Bergisch Gladbach
BER
41%
23%
36%
19 21 2 0
02 Sep. 2018
MER
SSV Merten
0 - 2
Deutz
SVD
41%
21%
39%
20 21 1 -1