Vanspor FK vs 68 Aksaray Belediyespor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
18.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
1º
10º
5º
31
1º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
28 | 69 |
1º
|
38.5% | |
|
1º
|
33 | 65 |
2º
|
17% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 64 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
|
2º
|
31 | 63 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
|
8º
|
21 | 62 |
5º
|
15% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 59 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 58 |
7º
|
16.5% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 53 |
8º
|
18.5% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 47 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 47 |
10º
|
15% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 45 |
11º
|
19% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 44 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 35 |
13º
|
18.5% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 34 |
14º
|
24% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 31 |
15º
|
16% | |
|
18º
|
5 | 28 |
16º
|
15.5% | |
|
17º
|
6 | 26 |
17º
|
19.5% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 22 |
18º
|
43.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
4% | 13.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
15.5% | 14% |
|
Next round
|
60% | 51% |
|
Mid-table
|
20.5% | 21.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vanspor FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
MEN
1 - 1
BUY
48%
25%
27%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
BUY
0 - 2
ELA
68%
20%
12%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
GIR
1 - 1
BUY
29%
26%
45%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
NAZ
0 - 3
BUY
18%
24%
59%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
BUY
2 - 1
BEL
64%
22%
14%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
68 Aksaray Belediyespor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
YAK
2 - 0
NAZ
62%
23%
15%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
BEL
1 - 5
YAK
36%
29%
35%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
YAK
1 - 1
KBS
57%
24%
19%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
MER
1 - 3
YAK
54%
24%
21%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
YAK
2 - 0
BYC
36%
28%
36%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |