Bustelo vs Tourizense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
38.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bustelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
ESP
0 - 0
BUS
80%
14%
7%
|
32 | 56 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
SOU
1 - 0
BUS
36%
25%
40%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -2 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
VAR
3 - 0
BUS
75%
17%
9%
|
35 | 60 | 25 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
BUS
0 - 0
BEN
39%
25%
37%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
BUS
4 - 1
ACV
19%
25%
56%
|
33 | 59 | 26 | +2 |
Matches
Tourizense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
TOU
3 - 3
SOU
64%
20%
16%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
BEN
2 - 1
TOU
47%
25%
28%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
TOU
1 - 1
ORI
18%
22%
60%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
TOU
1 - 1
PAM
62%
22%
17%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
TOU
3 - 0
JUV
48%
25%
27%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |