Bury vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.5%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
54%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
16.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.8%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1997 |
HUR
2 - 0
BCF
47%
26%
27%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1997 |
BCF
1 - 1
SUN
33%
28%
39%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 1997 |
OXF
1 - 1
BCF
59%
23%
19%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1997 |
BCF
0 - 2
OPA
47%
27%
26%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 1997 |
BCF
2 - 0
NTT
19%
25%
56%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1997 |
IPS
1 - 1
MID
40%
27%
33%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1997 |
MID
1 - 0
WBA
77%
15%
8%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1997 |
MID
0 - 0
NTT
57%
22%
21%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1997 |
SWI
1 - 2
MID
28%
28%
44%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1997 |
MID
2 - 1
BOL
56%
21%
23%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |