Bury vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
26.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1909 |
BCF
0 - 1
PNE
57%
22%
20%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1909 |
NOT
3 - 2
BCF
59%
20%
21%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1909 |
BRI
4 - 2
BCF
60%
20%
20%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1909 |
BCF
1 - 1
NEW
38%
26%
36%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1909 |
SHE
2 - 2
BCF
62%
19%
19%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1909 |
SHW
5 - 1
CHL
66%
19%
15%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1909 |
EVE
3 - 2
CHL
69%
18%
13%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1909 |
CHL
1 - 1
MUD
44%
25%
32%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1909 |
CHL
1 - 1
BBU
69%
18%
14%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1909 |
SUN
1 - 2
CHL
68%
18%
14%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |