League Two round 17

Burton Albion vs Bristol Rovers analysis

Burton Albion Bristol Rovers
57 ELO 50
8.5% Tilt 8.7%
2681º General ELO ranking 2096º
81º Country ELO ranking 67º
ELO win probability
62.3%
Burton Albion
20.9%
Draw
16.8%
Bristol Rovers

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
Burton Albion
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
16.8%
Win probability
Bristol Rovers
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Burton Albion
-3%
-13%
Bristol Rovers

ELO progression

Burton Albion
Bristol Rovers
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Burton Albion
Burton Albion
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Nov. 2013
DAG
Dagenham & Redbridge
2 - 0
Burton Albion
BUR
34%
26%
40%
58 53 5 0
02 Nov. 2013
BUR
Burton Albion
0 - 1
Morecambe
MOR
60%
22%
18%
59 54 5 -1
26 Oct. 2013
EXE
Exeter City
0 - 1
Burton Albion
BUR
35%
26%
39%
58 55 3 +1
22 Oct. 2013
BUR
Burton Albion
2 - 0
Torquay United
GUL
70%
19%
12%
58 49 9 0
19 Oct. 2013
CHE
Chesterfield
0 - 2
Burton Albion
BUR
58%
22%
20%
56 62 6 +2

Matches

Bristol Rovers
Bristol Rovers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Nov. 2013
BRO
Bristol Rovers
1 - 1
Bury
BCF
51%
24%
25%
51 50 1 0
08 Nov. 2013
BRO
Bristol Rovers
3 - 3
York City
YOR
46%
25%
29%
51 52 1 0
02 Nov. 2013
OXF
Oxford United
0 - 1
Bristol Rovers
BRO
56%
24%
20%
50 58 8 +1
26 Oct. 2013
BRO
Bristol Rovers
0 - 0
Chesterfield
CHE
28%
28%
45%
50 61 11 0
22 Oct. 2013
STA
Accrington Stanley
2 - 1
Bristol Rovers
BRO
42%
25%
33%
50 47 3 0