Q. Europa League 3ra Ronda Final
Global 6-1
Bursaspor vs KuPS Kuopio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
19.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bursaspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2012 |
KUO
1 - 0
BUR
39%
25%
36%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2012 |
BUR
0 - 4
FEN
25%
23%
52%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
IST
0 - 4
BUR
34%
28%
38%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
BUR
2 - 0
SIV
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2012 |
BUR
3 - 2
ESK
55%
25%
21%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
KuPS Kuopio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
KUO
0 - 2
HON
34%
26%
39%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2012 |
KUO
1 - 0
BUR
39%
25%
36%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
HAK
0 - 2
KUO
34%
27%
40%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2012 |
KUO
0 - 1
MAC
42%
25%
33%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
KUO
0 - 6
INT
31%
26%
43%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | -1 |