1923 Mustafakemalpaşa vs Yozgat Bld Bozokspor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
12.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
+1314%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
1º
10º
8º
12
11º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
23 | 55 |
1º
|
32% | |
|
3º
|
20 | 55 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
2º
|
20 | 54 |
3º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 50 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 49 |
5º
|
17% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 45 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
5º
|
16 | 42 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
13 | 42 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 41 |
9º
|
8.5% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 40 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 38 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 36 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 36 |
13º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
12 | 29 |
14º
|
25% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 26 |
15º
|
36.5% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 19 |
16º
|
74.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
2% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
25% | 1.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
65% | 38% |
|
Relegation
|
7.5% | 60.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1923 Mustafakemalpaşa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
BAY
2 - 2
BUR
29%
26%
45%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
BUR
1 - 2
OSK
74%
18%
8%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
YOR
0 - 1
BUR
42%
26%
33%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
BUR
0 - 1
CSP
52%
24%
24%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
AKS
2 - 3
BUR
58%
23%
19%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Yozgat Bld Bozokspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
KIY
1 - 1
YOZ
73%
16%
11%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2024 |
YOZ
0 - 2
KIR
12%
18%
70%
|
16 | 54 | 38 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
YOZ
2 - 1
BAY
16%
20%
64%
|
11 | 41 | 30 | +5 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
OSK
3 - 0
YOZ
76%
15%
9%
|
11 | 30 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
YOZ
1 - 1
YOR
11%
16%
73%
|
7 | 46 | 39 | +4 |