Premier League round 18

Burnley vs Norwich City analysis

Burnley Norwich City
84 ELO 78
0.9% Tilt -2.6%
124º General ELO ranking 421º
18º Country ELO ranking 28º
ELO win probability
67.9%
Burnley
19.5%
Draw
12.5%
Norwich City

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
Burnley
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
12.5%
Win probability
Norwich City
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Burnley
-1%
-4%
Norwich City

ELO progression

Burnley
Norwich City
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Burnley
Burnley
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Nov. 1973
BUR
Burnley
1 - 0
Stoke City
STO
53%
24%
23%
84 84 0 0
17 Nov. 1973
LEI
Leicester
2 - 0
Burnley
BUR
43%
28%
29%
84 84 0 0
10 Nov. 1973
BUR
Burnley
0 - 0
Leeds United
LEE
27%
28%
45%
84 92 8 0
03 Nov. 1973
SOU
Southampton
2 - 2
Burnley
BUR
54%
24%
22%
84 84 0 0
27 Oct. 1973
BUR
Burnley
0 - 0
Manchester United
MUD
52%
23%
25%
84 84 0 0

Matches

Norwich City
Norwich City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Nov. 1973
MUD
Manchester United
0 - 0
Norwich City
NOR
65%
21%
14%
78 84 6 0
17 Nov. 1973
NOR
Norwich City
1 - 3
Everton
EVE
38%
29%
33%
79 85 6 -1
10 Nov. 1973
STO
Stoke City
2 - 0
Norwich City
NOR
63%
22%
15%
79 84 5 0
03 Nov. 1973
NOR
Norwich City
1 - 0
Leicester
LEI
42%
29%
30%
79 84 5 0
26 Oct. 1973
CHL
Chelsea
3 - 0
Norwich City
NOR
70%
18%
12%
79 85 6 0