Burnley vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
23.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1974 |
SHE
2 - 2
BUR
54%
23%
23%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1974 |
MUD
3 - 2
BUR
54%
24%
22%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1974 |
BUR
2 - 2
BIR
58%
22%
19%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1974 |
LEI
1 - 0
BUR
46%
26%
28%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1974 |
BUR
1 - 1
EVE
55%
24%
21%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1974 |
NEW
5 - 0
CHL
55%
24%
21%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1974 |
NEW
3 - 0
FUL
75%
17%
8%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1974 |
MID
0 - 0
NEW
42%
27%
30%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1974 |
NEW
1 - 0
LUT
71%
19%
11%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1974 |
NEW
0 - 1
LEI
56%
25%
19%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |