Burnley vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
20.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1922 |
MID
4 - 1
BUR
54%
23%
23%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1922 |
CHL
0 - 1
BUR
41%
28%
32%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1922 |
BUR
1 - 0
CHL
70%
18%
12%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 1922 |
NTT
1 - 0
BUR
29%
30%
41%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 1922 |
BUR
8 - 2
NTT
74%
16%
10%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1922 |
MID
4 - 1
BUR
54%
23%
23%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1922 |
MID
1 - 1
PNE
66%
19%
15%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1922 |
PNE
1 - 2
MID
40%
26%
35%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 1922 |
SHE
4 - 1
MID
38%
26%
36%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 1922 |
MID
3 - 2
SHE
62%
20%
18%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |