Burnley vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
38.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1969 |
EVE
2 - 1
BUR
72%
17%
11%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1969 |
BUR
0 - 0
COV
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1969 |
STO
2 - 1
BUR
46%
24%
30%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1969 |
BUR
0 - 1
NEW
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1969 |
NTT
1 - 1
BUR
46%
26%
29%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1969 |
MUD
3 - 1
TOT
57%
23%
20%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1969 |
MUD
1 - 0
DER
71%
17%
12%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1969 |
MAC
4 - 0
MUD
54%
23%
22%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1969 |
DER
0 - 0
MUD
46%
23%
31%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1969 |
COV
1 - 2
MUD
35%
26%
39%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |