Burgos vs Santa Marta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
9%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
AVI
1 - 1
BUR
34%
28%
38%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
NUM
0 - 1
BUR
15%
26%
59%
|
44 | 19 | 25 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
BUR
1 - 0
LER
73%
18%
9%
|
44 | 23 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
BUR
1 - 0
VAL
35%
28%
37%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2010 |
SDA
0 - 2
BUR
18%
27%
55%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Marta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
SAN
2 - 3
VAL
14%
23%
63%
|
17 | 47 | 30 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
AVI
5 - 0
SAN
76%
16%
9%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 2
SDA
33%
25%
42%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
CDH
4 - 1
SAN
69%
18%
12%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2010 |
VIL
5 - 1
SAN
72%
17%
11%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |