Burgos vs Deportivo Alavés B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
17.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2000 |
AUR
1 - 1
BUR
40%
29%
31%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2000 |
BUR
1 - 1
GIM
47%
29%
24%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
ZAR
0 - 1
BUR
43%
28%
30%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2000 |
BUR
4 - 0
IZA
64%
23%
12%
|
49 | 32 | 17 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
RUN
1 - 1
BUR
33%
28%
39%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Alavés B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2000 |
ALA
1 - 0
BIN
44%
27%
29%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2000 |
CLH
3 - 1
ALA
59%
22%
19%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
ALA
1 - 2
AMU
37%
28%
36%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2000 |
FIG
0 - 4
ALA
31%
27%
42%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
ALA
1 - 4
ATH
35%
28%
38%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | -1 |