Burgos U19 vs Rayo Vallecano U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
24.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+98%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
4º
10º
5º
10
3º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
10 | 76 |
1º
|
73% | |
|
4º
|
8 | 71 |
2º
|
63.5% | |
|
1º
|
12 | 55 |
3º
|
25.5% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 53 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
7 | 48 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
|
3º
|
10 | 48 |
6º
|
8.5% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 45 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 45 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 44 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 43 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 39 |
11º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 36 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 26 |
13º
|
29% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 20 |
14º
|
30% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 13 |
15º
|
38.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 12 |
16º
|
52% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0.5% | 0.5% |
|
Copa del Rey U18
|
21.5% | 25% |
|
Possible next round
|
14% | 13% |
|
Mid-table
|
61% | 59% |
|
Relegation
|
3% | 2.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
BCF
2 - 3
UAD
69%
17%
14%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
RMJ
0 - 3
BCF
47%
23%
30%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
BCF
3 - 0
MOS
86%
10%
4%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
LRZ
1 - 1
BCF
41%
23%
37%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
COL
0 - 4
BCF
11%
17%
72%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ATM
2 - 1
RAY
87%
9%
4%
|
20 | 43 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
RAY
1 - 0
DIO
47%
23%
30%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
UDL
0 - 1
RAY
33%
23%
44%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
RAY
2 - 0
FUE
71%
17%
12%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
RAY
0 - 1
FUE
77%
15%
9%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |