Burgos U19 vs Alcorcón U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.8%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.2%
4-0
10.8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.1%
3-0
14.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.9%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9%
3.1%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+122%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
3º
10º
3º
9
14º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
40 | 75 |
1º
|
53% | |
|
1º
|
41 | 74 |
2º
|
52.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
29 | 58 |
3º
|
46.5% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 58 |
4º
|
35.5% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 47 |
5º
|
23.5% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 46 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 45 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 44 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 42 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 39 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 39 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 35 |
12º
|
24.5% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 29 |
13º
|
55% | |
|
|
14º
|
9 | 18 |
14º
|
46% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 16 |
15º
|
38.5% | |
|
16º
|
4 | 12 |
16º
|
64% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Copa del Rey U18
|
82.5% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
7.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
10% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
VAD
2 - 0
BCF
24%
22%
54%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
BCF
2 - 0
RMA
11%
18%
72%
|
26 | 47 | 21 | +7 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
BCF
4 - 1
RCA
61%
20%
19%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
GET
2 - 1
BCF
26%
22%
53%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
BCF
1 - 0
ATM
13%
18%
70%
|
22 | 44 | 22 | +4 |
Matches
Alcorcón U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
ALC
0 - 1
GET
16%
22%
62%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
ATM
3 - 1
ALC
91%
7%
2%
|
12 | 44 | 32 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
ALC
1 - 2
DIO
17%
21%
63%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
UDL
1 - 1
ALC
68%
18%
14%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
ALC
4 - 0
FUE
42%
25%
33%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |