BUL FC vs SC Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
18.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BUL FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2022 |
BUL
1 - 0
BOM
74%
16%
10%
|
41 | 16 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
UGA
2 - 5
BUL
40%
26%
34%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2022 |
BOM
1 - 5
BUL
14%
18%
69%
|
39 | 17 | 22 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
EXP
2 - 1
BUL
38%
27%
35%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
BUL
0 - 0
OND
49%
25%
26%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
SC Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2022 |
SCV
2 - 1
AHS
35%
27%
38%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
SCV
0 - 0
VIP
33%
27%
40%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2022 |
UGA
0 - 0
SCV
53%
23%
24%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2022 |
SCV
1 - 2
BUL
36%
27%
37%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2022 |
SCV
2 - 1
MCF
47%
25%
28%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |