Budaörsi vs Balatonfüredi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.6%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
12%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.1%
5.3%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
1º
10º
5º
21
9º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
39 | 66 |
1º
|
55.5% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 64 |
2º
|
38% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 59 |
3º
|
40% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 53 |
4º
|
36% | |
|
|
4º
|
26 | 53 |
5º
|
29% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 47 |
6º
|
22.5% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 46 |
7º
|
18.5% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 42 |
8º
|
22% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 38 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 35 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 34 |
11º
|
19% | |
|
|
10º
|
21 | 33 |
12º
|
25% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 32 |
13º
|
22% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 24 |
14º
|
36% | |
|
15º
|
10 | 22 |
15º
|
39% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 19 |
16º
|
62.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 93% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 7% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Budaörsi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
SOP
1 - 1
BUD
34%
24%
42%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
BUD
2 - 0
KVS
68%
18%
14%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
GYI
0 - 2
BUD
19%
21%
60%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
BUD
3 - 1
DOR
51%
22%
27%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
BSC
3 - 1
BUD
55%
23%
23%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Balatonfüredi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
BAL
2 - 1
III
9%
17%
74%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
KEL
0 - 2
BAL
37%
25%
38%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +2 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
BAL
0 - 2
UJP
34%
23%
42%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -2 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
BAL
2 - 3
SOP
25%
22%
53%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
KVS
0 - 1
BAL
64%
20%
16%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +1 |