Buckley Town vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.8%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
71.4%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buckley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
BUC
0 - 0
PEN
86%
10%
4%
|
41 | 19 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
BUC
5 - 1
PRE
55%
20%
25%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
BUC
1 - 1
NEW
9%
16%
75%
|
39 | 65 | 26 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
CAE
3 - 0
BUC
87%
9%
4%
|
39 | 63 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
BUC
3 - 2
AAA
75%
14%
11%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
CON
0 - 2
BRA
43%
25%
32%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
BRA
0 - 1
CON
50%
25%
26%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
CON
4 - 3
FMC
84%
11%
5%
|
66 | 15 | 51 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
CON
2 - 1
TNS
35%
23%
42%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
TNS
2 - 0
CON
64%
19%
17%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |