Buchbach vs Seligenporten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
23.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buchbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
TSG
2 - 2
BUC
30%
25%
45%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2009 |
BUC
3 - 2
ISM
51%
23%
27%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
BUC
3 - 1
FRO
45%
24%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
BAY
1 - 1
BUC
44%
24%
32%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
BUC
1 - 2
MEM
42%
26%
33%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Seligenporten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2009 |
SEL
1 - 1
ERB
43%
24%
33%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
BAD
0 - 2
SEL
40%
24%
36%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
SEL
1 - 1
ROS
54%
23%
23%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
BAY
0 - 2
SEL
63%
21%
17%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
SEL
0 - 1
UNT
48%
23%
28%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |