BSG Wismut Aue vs Zwickau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
26.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BSG Wismut Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1973 |
ERF
1 - 1
BWA
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1973 |
BWA
1 - 1
CHL
49%
26%
25%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1972 |
BWA
1 - 0
BFC
42%
28%
31%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 1972 |
SGD
4 - 0
BWA
78%
14%
8%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1972 |
BWA
2 - 1
MAG
35%
26%
38%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Zwickau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1973 |
ZWI
0 - 1
FVF
58%
21%
22%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1973 |
ZWI
2 - 1
ERF
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1972 |
ZWI
3 - 0
CHL
50%
26%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 1972 |
BFC
1 - 1
ZWI
60%
23%
17%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1972 |
ZWI
1 - 1
SGD
32%
30%
39%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |