BSG Fortschritt Meerane vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
30.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BSG Fortschritt Meerane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1953 |
SAC
2 - 0
BFM
52%
20%
28%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1953 |
BFM
5 - 1
BSS
64%
18%
17%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 1953 |
SED
1 - 1
BFM
55%
21%
24%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1953 |
BFM
1 - 2
ABS
45%
22%
33%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1953 |
BEL
0 - 0
BFM
50%
21%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1953 |
ERF
1 - 0
SGD
54%
22%
24%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1953 |
BWA
3 - 2
ERF
52%
21%
27%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1953 |
ERF
5 - 2
ZWI
55%
23%
23%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1953 |
SVD
2 - 5
ERF
52%
22%
27%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1953 |
ERF
3 - 0
SAC
60%
20%
20%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |