Catarinense 1 Segunda Fase round 6

Brusque vs Camboriú FC analysis

Brusque Camboriú FC
43 ELO 49
-4.7% Tilt 5.7%
1000º General ELO ranking 2943º
43º Country ELO ranking 84º
ELO win probability
38.4%
Brusque
25.4%
Draw
36.2%
Camboriú FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
Brusque
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
36.2%
Win probability
Camboriú FC
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Brusque
-5%
-14%
Camboriú FC

ELO progression

Brusque
Camboriú FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Brusque
Brusque
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Mar. 2012
HER
Hermann Aichinger
3 - 1
Brusque
BRU
62%
21%
17%
45 57 12 0
17 Mar. 2012
AVA
Avaí
2 - 0
Brusque
BRU
78%
15%
7%
45 69 24 0
11 Mar. 2012
BRU
Brusque
0 - 1
Criciúma
CRI
18%
22%
60%
46 63 17 -1
04 Mar. 2012
CHA
Chapecoense
2 - 2
Brusque
BRU
74%
17%
9%
45 66 21 +1
01 Mar. 2012
BRU
Brusque
1 - 2
Metropolitano
MET
31%
25%
44%
46 52 6 -1

Matches

Camboriú FC
Camboriú FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Mar. 2012
CAM
Camboriú FC
1 - 0
Avaí
AVA
12%
17%
71%
48 69 21 0
18 Mar. 2012
CRI
Criciúma
7 - 0
Camboriú FC
CAM
78%
14%
8%
48 63 15 0
11 Mar. 2012
CAM
Camboriú FC
3 - 3
Chapecoense
CHA
17%
21%
62%
48 66 18 0
04 Mar. 2012
MET
Metropolitano
2 - 0
Camboriú FC
CAM
59%
21%
20%
49 53 4 -1
01 Mar. 2012
CAM
Camboriú FC
1 - 3
Joinville
JEC
21%
22%
57%
49 63 14 0