Brunnen vs Collina d'Oro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
48.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
4º
9º
4º
64
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
64 | 68 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 56 |
2º
|
65% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 55 |
3º
|
65.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
46 | 50 |
4º
|
72.5% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 48 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 46 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 46 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
45.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 38 |
11º
|
32% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 30 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 30 |
14º
|
48% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 25 |
15º
|
65.5% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 16 |
16º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 99.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brunnen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
ZOF
1 - 1
BRU
43%
23%
34%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
BRU
1 - 1
LUZ
52%
23%
25%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
RSZ
1 - 2
BRU
63%
20%
18%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
BRU
2 - 1
ZUG
22%
23%
55%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ASC
2 - 0
BRU
27%
22%
51%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Collina d'Oro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
FCC
2 - 1
FCS
65%
18%
17%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
FCC
1 - 2
FCC
23%
22%
55%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
FCC
2 - 2
GOL
69%
16%
15%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
FCU
1 - 3
FCC
40%
22%
38%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
FCC
3 - 1
PER
58%
20%
22%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |