Brown Adrogué vs Sarmiento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
34%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brown Adrogué
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2019 |
QUI
0 - 0
BRO
42%
29%
29%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
BRO
1 - 0
IRV
44%
28%
28%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
MOR
0 - 1
BRO
41%
29%
29%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
BRO
3 - 0
CHA
50%
26%
24%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
MIT
0 - 1
BRO
42%
29%
29%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2019 |
SAR
0 - 2
ALB
72%
18%
10%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2019 |
SAR
0 - 0
QUI
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2019 |
IRV
0 - 0
SAR
34%
29%
37%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2019 |
SAR
1 - 1
MOR
59%
24%
17%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
CHA
1 - 3
SAR
32%
28%
41%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |