Bristol Rovers vs Luton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.5%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
61.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bristol Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
MKD
2 - 0
BRO
53%
25%
22%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
BRO
1 - 0
GRI
36%
28%
36%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2006 |
BRO
1 - 2
WYC
43%
27%
30%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2006 |
POS
4 - 1
BRO
47%
26%
27%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -2 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
BRO
2 - 3
MAC
44%
27%
30%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
LUT
2 - 2
STO
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
NOR
3 - 2
LUT
50%
25%
25%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2006 |
SHW
0 - 1
LUT
38%
27%
36%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2006 |
LUT
2 - 0
LEI
52%
24%
24%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
BUR
1 - 1
LUT
42%
26%
32%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |