Bristol City vs Swansea City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
12.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bristol City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
BRI
5 - 0
NOT
62%
22%
17%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2003 |
BRI
2 - 0
POR
66%
21%
13%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
CHE
2 - 0
BRI
21%
24%
55%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2003 |
BRI
2 - 0
CAR
46%
25%
29%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
LUT
2 - 2
BRI
42%
25%
33%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Swansea City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
SWA
4 - 2
BCF
41%
28%
31%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2003 |
SWA
4 - 2
HUL
42%
29%
30%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +2 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
ROC
1 - 2
SWA
57%
23%
20%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2003 |
SWA
0 - 1
EXE
48%
26%
26%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
LEY
3 - 1
SWA
44%
26%
30%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -2 |