Brisbane Roar vs Newcastle Jets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
34.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
2
9º
12º
12º
6
5º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
17 | 46 |
1º
|
25% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 46 |
2º
|
18.5% | |
|
5º
|
14 | 45 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 42 |
4º
|
19% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 41 |
5º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 41 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 38 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 37 |
8º
|
9% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 34 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
1º
|
19 | 29 |
10º
|
30.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
6 | 28 |
11º
|
25% | |
|
|
13º
|
2 | 21 |
12º
|
26% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 21 |
13º
|
38.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
1% | 7% |
|
Mid-table
|
99% | 93% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
BRI
0 - 1
PER
52%
23%
25%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
WES
2 - 2
BRI
58%
22%
20%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
BRI
1 - 4
MCI
24%
24%
52%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
MFC
4 - 4
BRI
60%
22%
19%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
BRI
2 - 3
ADE
28%
24%
49%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
PER
0 - 4
NEW
40%
25%
36%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
NEW
0 - 1
ADE
28%
24%
48%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
AFC
2 - 0
NEW
16%
21%
63%
|
62 | 14 | 48 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
NEW
1 - 2
CCM
27%
25%
48%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
WES
4 - 1
NEW
53%
24%
24%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |