Brisbane Roar vs Newcastle Jets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
30.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2005 |
SYD
1 - 0
BRI
68%
20%
12%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2005 |
MEL
0 - 1
BRI
66%
21%
13%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
BRI
0 - 0
PER
32%
25%
43%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
BRI
1 - 2
ADE
40%
26%
34%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
NZK
0 - 2
BRI
45%
25%
31%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2005 |
MEL
0 - 0
NEW
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2005 |
NZK
2 - 4
NEW
36%
25%
39%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
SYD
1 - 1
NEW
55%
23%
22%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
NEW
1 - 0
CCM
36%
28%
36%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2005 |
ADE
2 - 4
NEW
57%
25%
19%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |