Brisbane Roar vs Melbourne City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
46.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
WES
2 - 2
BRI
53%
24%
23%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
PER
2 - 1
BRI
57%
22%
20%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
BRI
0 - 0
WPH
43%
25%
32%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
BRI
1 - 1
CCM
53%
24%
23%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2018 |
BRI
0 - 1
MCI
34%
23%
43%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Melbourne City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2018 |
MCI
2 - 0
WPH
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2018 |
MCI
0 - 3
SYD
28%
25%
47%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
CCM
1 - 1
MCI
25%
24%
51%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
MEL
1 - 2
MCI
40%
25%
36%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2018 |
MCI
1 - 2
WES
46%
24%
29%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |