National Premier Queensland round 16

Brisbane Roar II vs Olympic FC analysis

Brisbane Roar II Olympic FC
24 ELO 29
-0.4% Tilt 3.5%
24077º General ELO ranking 18551º
135º Country ELO ranking 117º
ELO win probability
39.4%
Brisbane Roar II
22.2%
Draw
38.4%
Olympic FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
Brisbane Roar II
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
38.4%
Win probability
Olympic FC
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Brisbane Roar II
+5%
+16%
Olympic FC

Points and table prediction

Brisbane Roar II
Their league position
Olympic FC
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
11º
19
10º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Gold Coast Knights
48
48
100%
Moreton City Excelsior
38
38
100%
Gold Coast United
36
36
100%
Brisbane City
35
35
100%
Queensland Lions FC
34
34
0%
Peninsula Power
34
34
0%
Rochedale Rovers
30
30
100%
SC Wanderers
29
29
100%
Brisbane Roar II
27
27
100%
Redlands United
10º
26
26
10º
100%
Olympic FC
11º
19
19
11º
100%
Eastern Suburbs Brisbane
12º
9
9
12º
100%
Expected probabilities
Brisbane Roar II
Olympic FC
Final Series
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

Brisbane Roar II
Olympic FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Brisbane Roar II
Brisbane Roar II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Jun. 2023
QUE
Queensland Lions FC
3 - 1
Brisbane Roar II
BRR
83%
11%
5%
26 43 17 0
18 Jun. 2023
BRR
Brisbane Roar II
1 - 2
Peninsula Power
PEN
35%
22%
43%
27 32 5 -1
11 Jun. 2023
BRR
Brisbane Roar II
1 - 0
Gold Coast United
GOL
25%
22%
53%
26 36 10 +1
04 Jun. 2023
BRI
Brisbane City
2 - 0
Brisbane Roar II
BRR
62%
19%
19%
26 31 5 0
21 May. 2023
BRR
Brisbane Roar II
2 - 1
SC Wanderers
SUN
32%
21%
47%
25 30 5 +1

Matches

Olympic FC
Olympic FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Jun. 2023
OLY
Olympic FC
1 - 1
Brisbane City
BRI
41%
22%
37%
27 30 3 0
16 Jun. 2023
OLY
Olympic FC
0 - 0
SC Wanderers
SUN
42%
21%
37%
27 29 2 0
09 Jun. 2023
RED
Redlands United
2 - 1
Olympic FC
OLY
40%
21%
39%
28 25 3 -1
02 Jun. 2023
MOR
Moreton City Excelsior
5 - 0
Olympic FC
OLY
59%
19%
22%
30 34 4 -2
19 May. 2023
EAS
Eastern Suburbs Brisbane
2 - 3
Olympic FC
OLY
30%
22%
49%
30 23 7 0