Brisbane City vs Moreton City Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
44.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
+83%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
1º
6º
4º
38
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
38 | 38 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 9 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brisbane City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
BRI
4 - 0
EAS
52%
21%
27%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
BRI
1 - 2
GCK
28%
22%
50%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -2 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
BRI
4 - 0
ROC
54%
21%
26%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +2 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
BRI
2 - 2
OLY
33%
22%
45%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
QUE
6 - 3
BRI
82%
12%
6%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Moreton City Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
MOR
1 - 0
SUN
51%
20%
29%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
RED
0 - 2
MOR
22%
20%
58%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
GOL
1 - 0
MOR
42%
23%
35%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
MOR
5 - 2
EAS
64%
18%
18%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
GCK
2 - 2
MOR
52%
22%
26%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |