Brinkumer SV vs Leher TS Bremerhaven analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.4%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.3%
10.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+122%
+44%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
4º
16º
14º
29
11º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brinkumer SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
VAB
3 - 0
BRI
39%
21%
41%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
BRI
4 - 0
TKA
87%
9%
4%
|
29 | 15 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
WER
14 - 1
BRI
67%
19%
14%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | -2 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
BRI
4 - 1
TRB
33%
21%
46%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +4 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
ADF
5 - 0
BRI
50%
21%
30%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Leher TS Bremerhaven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
LEH
2 - 3
BTN
18%
19%
63%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
SVH
6 - 1
LEH
91%
6%
3%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
LEH
3 - 1
GEE
14%
16%
70%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | +2 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
BLU
5 - 1
LEH
63%
18%
19%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
LEH
0 - 4
BTN
19%
20%
61%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | -2 |