Championship round 17

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Aston Villa analysis

Brighton & Hove Albion Aston Villa
75 ELO 72
-2.5% Tilt -12.7%
37º General ELO ranking 35º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
48.8%
Brighton & Hove Albion
25.3%
Draw
25.9%
Aston Villa

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
Brighton & Hove Albion
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
25.9%
Win probability
Aston Villa
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Brighton & Hove Albion
-1%
+2%
Aston Villa

ELO progression

Brighton & Hove Albion
Aston Villa
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Brighton & Hove Albion
Brighton & Hove Albion
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Nov. 2016
BRI
Bristol City
0 - 2
Brighton & Hove Albion
BHA
40%
28%
32%
74 68 6 0
29 Oct. 2016
BHA
Brighton & Hove Albion
5 - 0
Norwich City
NOR
32%
26%
42%
73 78 5 +1
22 Oct. 2016
WIG
Wigan Athletic
0 - 1
Brighton & Hove Albion
BHA
32%
30%
39%
73 65 8 0
18 Oct. 2016
BHA
Brighton & Hove Albion
1 - 0
Wolves
WOL
53%
25%
22%
73 68 5 0
15 Oct. 2016
BHA
Brighton & Hove Albion
2 - 2
Preston North End
PNE
50%
26%
24%
73 69 4 0

Matches

Aston Villa
Aston Villa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Nov. 2016
ASV
Aston Villa
2 - 1
Blackburn Rovers
BBU
59%
24%
17%
72 65 7 0
30 Oct. 2016
BIR
Birmingham City
1 - 1
Aston Villa
ASV
39%
27%
35%
72 67 5 0
22 Oct. 2016
ASV
Aston Villa
1 - 0
Fulham
FUL
55%
24%
21%
72 65 7 0
18 Oct. 2016
REA
Reading
1 - 2
Aston Villa
ASV
36%
28%
36%
71 67 4 +1
15 Oct. 2016
ASV
Aston Villa
1 - 1
Wolves
WOL
53%
25%
22%
71 67 4 0