Brescia vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
20.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1950 |
UDI
1 - 0
BRE
63%
19%
18%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1950 |
BRE
3 - 2
USA
61%
20%
19%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1950 |
EMP
0 - 1
BRE
48%
24%
29%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1950 |
BRE
1 - 1
MOD
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1950 |
BRE
4 - 1
SPE
67%
17%
16%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1950 |
LIV
2 - 1
SPE
58%
21%
21%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1950 |
FAN
2 - 0
LIV
46%
22%
32%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | -2 |
| 12 Feb. 1950 |
LIV
0 - 0
PIS
64%
19%
16%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1950 |
CAT
0 - 0
LIV
47%
23%
30%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1950 |
SAL
1 - 0
LIV
55%
21%
24%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |