Brescia vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
25.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1932 |
BOL
6 - 1
BRE
74%
16%
11%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1932 |
BRE
4 - 2
GEN
37%
25%
38%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 May. 1932 |
BRE
2 - 0
LEO
48%
22%
29%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1932 |
TRI
1 - 1
BRE
46%
23%
31%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1932 |
BRE
0 - 0
PRO
59%
21%
21%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1932 |
LAZ
0 - 3
JUV
34%
27%
39%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1932 |
BAR
1 - 0
LAZ
44%
23%
33%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 May. 1932 |
LAZ
1 - 4
ROM
37%
25%
38%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1932 |
LAZ
2 - 2
USA
52%
22%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1932 |
GEN
1 - 0
LAZ
64%
20%
17%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |