Coppa Italia round 1

Brescia vs Inter analysis

Brescia Inter
65 ELO 84
-21.5% Tilt -16.2%
658º General ELO ranking
32º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
18.6%
Brescia
25.5%
Draw
56%
Inter

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.6%
Win probability
Brescia
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.5%
55.9%
Win probability
Inter
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Brescia
-5%
-2%
Inter

ELO progression

Brescia
Inter
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Brescia
Brescia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Aug. 1988
BRE
Brescia
1 - 1
Parma
PAR
52%
26%
22%
63 62 1 0
28 Aug. 1988
REG
Reggina
3 - 1
Brescia
BRE
55%
24%
21%
64 62 2 -1
24 Aug. 1988
BRE
Brescia
1 - 1
Ascoli
ASC
34%
27%
38%
64 74 10 0
21 Aug. 1988
MON
Monopoli
1 - 2
Brescia
BRE
29%
27%
45%
64 47 17 0
24 Jun. 1988
BRE
Brescia
0 - 0
Empoli
EMP
43%
27%
30%
63 70 7 +1

Matches

Inter
Inter
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Aug. 1988
INT
Inter
3 - 0
Reggina
REG
87%
9%
4%
84 63 21 0
28 Aug. 1988
ASC
Ascoli
0 - 0
Inter
INT
34%
26%
40%
85 74 11 -1
24 Aug. 1988
INT
Inter
1 - 0
Monopoli
MON
94%
5%
1%
85 47 38 0
21 Aug. 1988
PAR
Parma
1 - 2
Inter
INT
19%
25%
56%
84 62 22 +1
15 May. 1988
INT
Inter
1 - 1
Avellino
AVE
72%
18%
10%
85 73 12 -1