Brescia vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
21.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
BRE
0 - 0
LIV
41%
27%
32%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2012 |
ASC
2 - 0
BRE
40%
27%
33%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
BRE
2 - 2
REG
47%
27%
27%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
BRE
2 - 0
VER
36%
28%
36%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
GRO
2 - 2
BRE
36%
26%
38%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
JUS
3 - 1
CRO
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
CRO
1 - 0
VAR
42%
27%
31%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
MOD
3 - 0
CRO
47%
27%
27%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
CRO
0 - 0
VIR
75%
17%
9%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2012 |
REG
1 - 1
CRO
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |