Brescia vs Ancona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
17.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1993 |
USC
0 - 2
BRE
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1993 |
BRE
1 - 0
PAL
68%
20%
12%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1993 |
ASC
4 - 4
BRE
47%
28%
26%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1993 |
BRE
5 - 0
ASS
71%
20%
10%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 1993 |
BRE
2 - 2
USC
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1993 |
ANC
3 - 2
NAP
27%
27%
46%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1993 |
ANC
4 - 1
CES
54%
26%
20%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1993 |
VNZ
4 - 0
ANC
47%
26%
27%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1993 |
ANC
3 - 0
PAL
63%
22%
15%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 1993 |
NAP
0 - 0
ANC
72%
18%
9%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | 0 |