Brescia vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
13%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
19%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.1%
28%
Draw
0-0
13.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
16.4%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1972 |
SOR
4 - 0
BRE
30%
29%
41%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1972 |
BRE
3 - 0
NOV
57%
27%
17%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1972 |
LIV
0 - 0
BRE
27%
36%
37%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1972 |
BRE
3 - 1
REG
62%
25%
13%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1972 |
CAT
1 - 0
BRE
45%
31%
23%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1972 |
REG
1 - 0
PAL
50%
29%
21%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1972 |
ARZ
1 - 1
REG
50%
31%
20%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1972 |
LAZ
1 - 0
REG
69%
21%
10%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1972 |
REG
3 - 0
MOD
65%
24%
11%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1972 |
REG
0 - 1
REG
44%
33%
23%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |