Campionato Primavera 1 Grupo A round 11

Brescia U19 vs Spezia U19 analysis

Brescia U19 Spezia U19
16 ELO 18
12% Tilt -2.7%
11710º General ELO ranking 9314º
383º Country ELO ranking 320º
ELO win probability
34.5%
Brescia U19
23%
Draw
42.4%
Spezia U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
Brescia U19
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
42.4%
Win probability
Spezia U19
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Brescia U19
-34%
-5%
Spezia U19

ELO progression

Brescia U19
Spezia U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Brescia U19
Brescia U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Dec. 2016
TRA
Trapani U19
0 - 0
Brescia U19
BRE
39%
22%
39%
15 14 1 0
26 Nov. 2016
BRE
Brescia U19
1 - 2
Latina U19
LAT
41%
21%
37%
16 18 2 -1
19 Nov. 2016
VIC
Vicenza U19
3 - 0
Brescia U19
BRE
47%
24%
29%
17 16 1 -1
05 Nov. 2016
BRE
Brescia U19
3 - 3
Cesena U19
CES
32%
24%
44%
17 22 5 0
22 Oct. 2016
BRE
Brescia U19
0 - 3
Lazio U19
LAZ
15%
19%
67%
18 32 14 -1

Matches

Spezia U19
Spezia U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Dec. 2016
SPE
Spezia U19
2 - 3
Sampdoria U19
SAM
22%
24%
55%
19 32 13 0
25 Nov. 2016
MIL
Milan U19
4 - 1
Spezia U19
SPE
79%
13%
8%
20 28 8 -1
19 Nov. 2016
SPE
Spezia U19
1 - 1
Hellas Verona U19
VER
23%
24%
53%
19 31 12 +1
05 Nov. 2016
NAP
Napoli U19
1 - 0
Spezia U19
SPE
59%
21%
20%
20 24 4 -1
22 Oct. 2016
TRA
Trapani U19
1 - 2
Spezia U19
SPE
11%
15%
74%
20 10 10 0