Championship Playoff Semi-finals
Global 1-5
Brentford vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
28.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2015 |
BRE
3 - 0
WIG
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
REA
0 - 2
BRE
41%
27%
32%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
BRE
2 - 2
BOL
53%
24%
23%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2015 |
SHW
1 - 0
BRE
36%
28%
37%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
DER
1 - 1
BRE
59%
23%
19%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2015 |
MID
0 - 0
BHA
64%
23%
13%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
FUL
4 - 3
MID
41%
27%
33%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2015 |
NOR
0 - 1
MID
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2015 |
MID
2 - 1
WOL
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
MID
2 - 0
ROT
66%
21%
13%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |