League One round 15

Brentford vs Gillingham analysis

Brentford Gillingham
61 ELO 58
-4.1% Tilt -3.3%
74º General ELO ranking 3115º
14º Country ELO ranking 103º
ELO win probability
49.2%
Brentford
25.2%
Draw
25.7%
Gillingham

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
Brentford
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
25.7%
Win probability
Gillingham
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Brentford
-3%
-12%
Gillingham

ELO progression

Brentford
Gillingham
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Brentford
Brentford
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Oct. 2006
NOR
Northampton
0 - 0
Brentford
BRE
42%
26%
32%
61 62 1 0
14 Oct. 2006
ROT
Rotherham United
2 - 0
Brentford
BRE
41%
26%
33%
62 58 4 -1
07 Oct. 2006
BRE
Brentford
1 - 1
Bristol City
BRI
41%
27%
32%
62 64 2 0
30 Sep. 2006
BRE
Brentford
1 - 2
Yeovil Town
YEO
41%
26%
33%
62 62 0 0
26 Sep. 2006
MIL
Millwall
1 - 1
Brentford
BRE
33%
28%
39%
62 59 3 0

Matches

Gillingham
Gillingham
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Oct. 2006
GIL
Gillingham
1 - 2
Nottingham Forest
NTT
37%
27%
36%
59 65 6 0
14 Oct. 2006
GIL
Gillingham
0 - 1
Nottingham Forest
NTT
39%
28%
34%
59 65 6 0
07 Oct. 2006
CRE
Crewe Alexandra
4 - 3
Gillingham
GIL
63%
20%
17%
60 65 5 -1
30 Sep. 2006
GIL
Gillingham
2 - 1
Cheltenham Town
CHE
48%
26%
26%
59 59 0 +1
26 Sep. 2006
LEY
Leyton Orient
3 - 3
Gillingham
GIL
41%
26%
33%
59 57 2 0