Bremer SV vs MSV Duisburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
57.7%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bremer SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1980 |
SCF
4 - 2
BRE
84%
10%
6%
|
41 | 68 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1979 |
BVB
7 - 0
BRE
93%
5%
2%
|
41 | 78 | 37 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1976 |
WAL
6 - 0
BRE
84%
10%
6%
|
42 | 67 | 25 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1967 |
BRE
0 - 3
ISC
29%
25%
46%
|
42 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1967 |
WOL
5 - 0
BRE
79%
13%
8%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1985 |
MSV
1 - 3
TEN
64%
23%
14%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1985 |
HES
1 - 0
MSV
67%
19%
14%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1985 |
MSV
0 - 2
KÖL
49%
24%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 1985 |
ARB
3 - 1
MSV
58%
22%
20%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 1985 |
MSV
1 - 0
HOM
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |