Highland League round 9

Brechin City vs Wick Academy analysis

Brechin City Wick Academy
51 ELO 17
21.8% Tilt 4.3%
3221º General ELO ranking 11276º
29º Country ELO ranking 95º
ELO win probability
91.5%
Brechin City
6.7%
Draw
1.8%
Wick Academy

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.4%
Win probability
Brechin City
3.25
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.1%
+8
1%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.4%
6-0
4.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
<0%
+6
5.3%
5-0
8.4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
10%
4-0
12.9%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
16%
3-0
15.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.7%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.9%
6.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
3%
2-2
0.8%
3-3
0.1%
0
6.7%
1.8%
Win probability
Wick Academy
0.34
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.5%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Brechin City
-1%
-28%
Wick Academy

Points and table prediction

Brechin City
Their league position
Wick Academy
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
86
25
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Buckie Thistle
87
90
78.5%
Brechin City
86
86
78.5%
Brora Rangers
77
80
100%
Formartine United
71
74
94.5%
Fraserburgh
68
71
94.5%
Banks O' Dee
10º
36
63
100%
Inverurie Loco Works
50
50
100%
Nairn County
43
46
54.5%
Huntly
45
45
59.5%
Rothes
44
44
10º
67.5%
Forres Mechanics
11º
36
36
11º
48.5%
Clachnacuddin
12º
34
35
12º
18.5%
Turriff United
13º
33
34
13º
67.5%
Lossiemouth
15º
26
27
14º
25%
Keith
14º
27
27
15º
58.5%
Wick Academy
16º
25
26
16º
42%
Deveronvale
17º
24
24
17º
80.5%
Strathspey Thistle
18º
10
10
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Brechin City
Wick Academy
Play-offs for the title
21.5% 0%
Mid-table
78.5% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%

ELO progression

Brechin City
Wick Academy
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Brechin City
Brechin City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Mar. 2023
BRE
Brechin City
3 - 0
Nairn County
NAI
87%
10%
4%
51 31 20 0
25 Feb. 2023
HUN
Huntly
0 - 1
Brechin City
BRE
7%
16%
77%
51 25 26 0
22 Feb. 2023
FOR
Formartine United
2 - 0
Brechin City
BRE
29%
24%
47%
53 44 9 -2
18 Feb. 2023
BRE
Brechin City
5 - 1
Inverurie Loco Works
INV
85%
10%
4%
52 34 18 +1
11 Feb. 2023
NAI
Nairn County
0 - 0
Brechin City
BRE
10%
17%
73%
53 32 21 -1

Matches

Wick Academy
Wick Academy
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Mar. 2023
WIC
Wick Academy
1 - 2
Strathspey Thistle
STR
82%
12%
7%
18 9 9 0
18 Mar. 2023
FOR
Formartine United
6 - 0
Wick Academy
WIC
89%
8%
3%
18 45 27 0
04 Mar. 2023
WIC
Wick Academy
0 - 6
Fraserburgh
FRA
3%
10%
87%
18 52 34 0
25 Feb. 2023
WIC
Wick Academy
1 - 1
Forres Mechanics
FOR
25%
22%
54%
18 25 7 0
22 Feb. 2023
WIC
Wick Academy
1 - 7
Brora Rangers
BRO
3%
9%
88%
19 48 29 -1