Second Division round 32

Brechin City vs Stenhousemuir analysis

Brechin City Stenhousemuir
49 ELO 44
10.6% Tilt 2.5%
2555º General ELO ranking 2527º
29º Country ELO ranking 28º
ELO win probability
59.3%
Brechin City
20.8%
Draw
19.9%
Stenhousemuir

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
Brechin City
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
19.9%
Win probability
Stenhousemuir
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Brechin City
+16%
+7%
Stenhousemuir

ELO progression

Brechin City
Stenhousemuir
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Brechin City
Brechin City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Mar. 2016
DUN
Dunfermline Athletic FC
3 - 1
Brechin City
BRE
74%
17%
9%
49 63 14 0
19 Mar. 2016
BRE
Brechin City
2 - 1
Albion Rovers
ALB
51%
24%
26%
49 50 1 0
12 Mar. 2016
AIR
Airdrieonians
0 - 2
Brechin City
BRE
62%
21%
17%
47 53 6 +2
05 Mar. 2016
BRE
Brechin City
1 - 0
Ayr United
AYR
33%
25%
42%
46 54 8 +1
01 Mar. 2016
BRE
Brechin City
4 - 0
Forfar Athletic
FOR
32%
24%
45%
44 51 7 +2

Matches

Stenhousemuir
Stenhousemuir
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Mar. 2016
STE
Stenhousemuir
2 - 1
Forfar Athletic
FOR
32%
24%
44%
43 50 7 0
19 Mar. 2016
STR
Stranraer
3 - 1
Stenhousemuir
STE
68%
19%
14%
44 53 9 -1
12 Mar. 2016
STE
Stenhousemuir
1 - 4
Peterhead
PET
17%
22%
62%
45 62 17 -1
08 Mar. 2016
AYR
Ayr United
4 - 1
Stenhousemuir
STE
67%
19%
14%
45 53 8 0
05 Mar. 2016
DUN
Dunfermline Athletic FC
5 - 0
Stenhousemuir
STE
76%
15%
9%
46 62 16 -1