Brechin City vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
42%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brechin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
BRE
4 - 0
FOR
32%
24%
45%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
PET
4 - 1
BRE
71%
18%
11%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2016 |
ALB
4 - 1
BRE
54%
24%
22%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
BRE
1 - 2
DUN
21%
24%
55%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
BRE
2 - 2
CWB
43%
23%
34%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
AYR
4 - 1
CWB
61%
20%
18%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
AIR
0 - 1
AYR
48%
25%
28%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
AYR
2 - 1
FOR
55%
22%
22%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
DUN
3 - 2
AYR
64%
21%
15%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
AYR
1 - 2
PET
30%
25%
45%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |